May 14, 2025
Taiwan: The Most Dangerous Flashpoint in the Thucydides Trap
Why Taiwan sits at the center of the US-China rivalry, how military buildups on both sides are accelerating the risk of conflict, and what historical parallels tell us about the path ahead.
May 14, 2025
Trade Wars and Tariffs: Economic Dimensions of the Thucydides Trap
How trade wars, tariffs, sanctions, and technology export controls fit the Thucydides Trap framework — and whether economic warfare between the US and China makes military conflict more likely.
May 14, 2025
The AI Arms Race: A New Dimension of the Thucydides Trap
How the race for artificial intelligence supremacy between the US and China mirrors historical arms races — and why it could be the most dangerous dimension of great-power competition yet.
May 14, 2025
The South China Sea: A Maritime Powder Keg
Why the South China Sea is one of the most dangerous flashpoints in the US-China rivalry — island-building, freedom of navigation, and the risk of accidental escalation.